Keynote speakers

Alison Fowler

University of Reading

Masilin Gudoshava

Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC)

Steve Munch

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA); University of California, Santa Cruz

Jelena Pantel

Université de Franche-Comté

Andy Purvis

Natural History Museum in the United Kingdom

Rob Salguero-Gomez

Oxford University

Laura Uusitalo

Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke)

Jarno Vanhatalo

University of Helsinki; Research Center for Ecological Change (REC)

Damaris Zurell

Potsdam University

Conference Program

Stages

Room 1

08:00

09:00

10:00

11:00

12:00

13:00

14:00

15:00

16:00

17:00

18:00

19:00

20:00

Badge pick-up

08:30 - 09:00

Welcome

09:00 - 09:15

EFI Overview and Updates

09:15 - 09:45

McLachlan, Overview and Updates from the Ecological Forecasting Initiative Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Working Group

09:45 - 10:00

Thomas, The NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge and the EFI-Research Coordination Network

10:00 - 10:15

Wheeler, Community forecasting of deciduous broadleaf spring phenology at U.S. Wheeler, National Ecological Observatory Network sites

10:15 - 10:30

Record, Ocean Ecosystem Forecasting through a Data Justice Lens

10:30 - 10:45

Dormann, Where does forecasting stop being science?

10:45 - 11:00

Break & Networking

11:00 - 11:30

Horner, Quantifying and partitioning uncertainty in spatial ecological forecasts using Sobol

11:30 - 11:45

Wesselkamp, Study and application of forecast horizons in and beyond chaotic systems

11:45 - 12:00

Laginhas, Effects of Coarsening Spatial Resolution on Pest Spread Forecasting Skill and Uncertainty

12:00 - 12:15

Petchey, Effects of biodiversity and environmental change on forecasting the dynamics of experimental microbial communities

12:15 - 12:30

Saffer, Quantifying uncertainty in forecasts of when and where invasions happen

12:30 - 12:45

Willson, Comparing model-data fusion methods for parameter estimation and state variable prediction using a forest gap model

12:45 - 13:00

Lunch & Networking

13:00 - 14:30

On the role of ecological theory in species distribution and population predictions

14:30 - 15:00

Jarno Vanhatalo

On the importance of understanding uncertainties in data assimilation for marine biogeochemistry forecasting

15:00 - 15:30

Alison Fowler

Memory, chaos, and noise in ecological forecasting

15:30 - 16:00

Steve Munch

Break & Networking

16:00 - 16:30

Poster session

16:30 - 18:00

Welcome reception

18:00 - 20:00

Room 2

08:00

09:00

10:00

11:00

12:00

13:00

14:00

15:00

16:00

17:00

18:00

19:00

20:00

Badge pick-up

08:30 - 09:00

Break & Networking

11:00 - 11:30

Roy, Enhancing bird migration near real-time forecasts with synoptic and local weather pattern dynamics

11:30 - 11:45

Zobitz, Forecasting soil carbon fluxes across a continental scale network

11:45 - 12:00

Davison, Bear in Mind: A digital twin of human-bear conflict in Stara Planina, Bulgaria

12:00 - 12:15

Brett, Developing an Online Tool to Forecast Pest-Risk for Ireland

12:15 - 12:30

Yoccoz, Short-term forecasting of Arctic ecosystems integrating meteorological data with food web and time series models: The Climate-Ecological Observatory of Arctic Tundra (COAT)

12:30 - 12:45

Sun, Ecological forecasting and operational information systems support sustainable ocean management

12:45 - 13:00

Lunch & Networking

13:00 - 14:30

Break & Networking

16:00 - 16:30

Alison Fowler

Masilin Gudoshava

Steve Munch

Jelena Pantel

Andy Purvis

Rob Salguero-Gomez

Laura Uusitalo

Jarno Vanhatalo

Damaris Zurell

Registration is open

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Late Breaking Poster Submissions

Important dates

Conference handbook

EEFI General Assembly

Organizing committee

The meeting venue: Dynamicum

Latest news

Travel considerations

EFI Code of Conduct

Visit EFI Website

Travel scholarships

Book Group Opportunity

Conference Abstract Book

Conference Program (PDF version)

Conference Program

Choose date

Room 1

Badge pick-up

Welcome

EFI Overview and Updates

McLachlan, Overview and Updates from the Ecological Forecasting Initiative Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Working Group

Thomas, The NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge and the EFI-Research Coordination Network

Wheeler, Community forecasting of deciduous broadleaf spring phenology at U.S. Wheeler, National Ecological Observatory Network sites

Record, Ocean Ecosystem Forecasting through a Data Justice Lens

Dormann, Where does forecasting stop being science?

Break & Networking

Horner, Quantifying and partitioning uncertainty in spatial ecological forecasts using Sobol

Wesselkamp, Study and application of forecast horizons in and beyond chaotic systems

Laginhas, Effects of Coarsening Spatial Resolution on Pest Spread Forecasting Skill and Uncertainty

Petchey, Effects of biodiversity and environmental change on forecasting the dynamics of experimental microbial communities

Saffer, Quantifying uncertainty in forecasts of when and where invasions happen

Willson, Comparing model-data fusion methods for parameter estimation and state variable prediction using a forest gap model

Lunch & Networking

On the role of ecological theory in species distribution and population predictions

On the importance of understanding uncertainties in data assimilation for marine biogeochemistry forecasting

Memory, chaos, and noise in ecological forecasting

Break & Networking

Poster session

Welcome reception

Room 2

Badge pick-up

Break & Networking

Roy, Enhancing bird migration near real-time forecasts with synoptic and local weather pattern dynamics

Zobitz, Forecasting soil carbon fluxes across a continental scale network

Davison, Bear in Mind: A digital twin of human-bear conflict in Stara Planina, Bulgaria

Brett, Developing an Online Tool to Forecast Pest-Risk for Ireland

Yoccoz, Short-term forecasting of Arctic ecosystems integrating meteorological data with food web and time series models: The Climate-Ecological Observatory of Arctic Tundra (COAT)

Sun, Ecological forecasting and operational information systems support sustainable ocean management

Lunch & Networking

Break & Networking

Can you predict the future? Introducing the NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge

Learn and teach ecological forecasting with Macrosystems EDDIE modules

How do we make more inclusive products in ecological forecasting?

Ecological Forecasting - Research to Operations

Moving complex forecasts into the cloud

Making the most out of model error

Forecasting uneven observational data

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